Severe Weather Threat Over Wide Area for South, East

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After severe weather pushed through much of the Central Plains states on Saturday, more severe weather is on tap for the second half of the weekend and into the early part of the work week, with hail, strong winds and isolated tornadoes all possible.

A strong area of low pressure moving east out of the Rocky Mountains is drawing up plenty of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico out ahead of it, and a clash of warm, moist air and cooler, drier air on the back end of the area of the low is setting the stage for another bout of severe weather for a wide area.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has zeroed in on Arkansas and much of the southeast for severe storms on Sunday. The “enhanced” risk zone (see map), shown in orange, targets Arkansas and the ArkLaTex region for having the greatest chance at the strongest storms on Sunday. The primary threats from Sunday’s storms will be strong wind and hail, but tornadoes can’t be ruled out.

By Monday, the same storm moves east, bringing the threat of stronger storms to the mid-Atlantic and into north Florida, with damaging wind gusts expected to be the primary hazard as the storm system eventually moves into the Atlantic by Tuesday.

Meteorologist Chris Bianchi

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Severe Threat For Texas Panhandle on Thursday

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After a mostly calm start to the week severe weather-wise, stronger storms could fire up in parts of the deep South on Thursday, particularly in the Texas panhandle.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued an “elevated” risk for severe weather on Thursday for parts of the Texas panhandle, along and east of the I-27 corridor and just east of Amarillo and Lubbock. On a 0-to-5 scale, an elevated risk is a 3.

A “slight” risk (a 2 on the aforementioned 0-to-5 scale) encompasses much of Texas, including San Antonio, Houston, Austin, Abilene and Del Rio.

A potent area of low pressure will slowly inch east out of the Rocky Mountains, drawing up plenty of moisture-rich air from the Gulf of Mexico, and that will move into an unstable air mass in west Texas, firing off afternoon and evening thunderstorms capable of large hail, gusty winds and isolated tornadoes, particularly in the “enhanced” risk area, but perhaps also in the “slight” risk area as well.

The “marginal” risk (a 1 on the 0-to-5 scale) again includes coastal Louisiana, mostly hard-hit by flooding, but areas such as New Orleans saw golf ball-sized hail and 60 mile-an-hour winds on Wednesday and could see stronger storms again on Thursday. Also, short-range models are indicating the potential for a few stronger storms to lift into far eastern Colorado and western Kansas on Thursday afternoon and evening as well.

Stay tuned to WeatherNation for all the latest regarding this potential bout of severe weather.

Meteorologist Chris Bianchi

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